Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Boise -- Wednesday -- Vegas

San Jose State University takes on Boise State Wednesday night in Las Vegas as part of the opening night of the Mountain West Conference tournament.

For what it's worth: Coach Leon Rice's guys are coming off a road loss to Air Force. The season didn't go quite as expected as this was a veteran team expected to challenge for the league title. Instead, the finish was a fifth-place tie with Wyoming and Fresno State.

The 19-12, 9-9 Broncos are led by 6-foot-8 Ryan Watkins and 6-foot-6 wing Anthony Drmic, both Second Team All Conference selections, as well as 6-foot-3 guard Derrick Marks, who earned Honorable Mention status. The emergence of Watkins was unexpected but gave the Broncos a semblance of an inside game.

Here's a fascinating article on how Rice has renamed the traditional basketball positions.

These two teams met just once in league play, a 76-56 BSU victory on January 25:

Boise State put this one to bed early on, leading 46-28 at the half and there weren't necessarily bright spots for the Spartans to write home about. Let's take 24 free throw attempts (and 18 made), a decent effort on the boards, Boise State shooting 43% but that's about it. 12 turnovers looks okay but 10 took place in the first 20 minutes.

For the hosts, center Ryan Watkins put up another double-double (18 points, 16 rebounds) as BSU's lone inside big is making a run for All-MWC consideration with his perked-up play of late. But no other plus BSU performances were on display.

A telling note: "The Spartans went without a field goal in the second half from the 13:45 mark all the way until there were just 35 seconds left in the game."

The downsides:

Rashad Muhammad was shut out in 17 minutes of play.
   
Three assists on 16 baskets were credited to SJSU alongside 36% overall shooting.
   
In a way (although most would argue with this), the game was actually winnable if San Jose State University had brought their best game but credit must be given to the Broncos for preventing that possibility.
   
Can there be a positive takeaway for SJSU? Yes, if it's a continued learning of the practice and effort individually and collectively that is mandatory in order to have a chance for a victory in the Mountain West Conference.

Here's our preview to that game:
Call it a Homecoming Game for Coach Wojcik as he is taking on Leon Rice, his former boss. Also, call Boise State (13-6, 3-3, 8-2 at home) a team that can and will match three-point shots with the Spartans.

The leading Bronco scorer is 6-foot-6 Aussie Anthony Drmic and the junior possesses a very quick release on his shot. The top scorer at 18.1 points per game, he is shooting 46%, 34% and 78% respectively.

6-foot-3 junior Derrick Marks just gets better every season. In 2013-14, he's averaging just below 16 points an outing, with 44%, 26% and 81% accuracy.

These two guys are generally the one-two punch in scoring and statistically are #2 and #1 in getting to the foul line.

Each will generally get their points so the key is reducing their efficiency rates, at least to some degree. Drmic isn't deadly from outside and Marks much worse as their numbers indicate so defensive choices may be made regarding that aspect.

What the Broncos do is play intelligently and unselfishly, using multiple screens to get open looks at the basket.

Ryan Watkins is sort of a silent partner on the squad if such is applicable to someone 6-foot-8 and averaging a double-double (10.8 points/10.4 rebounds). He's not necessarily imposing but teams tend to forget about him, focusing on others and that's when Watkins can go to work offensively plus on the offensive boards as his rebounding split is 93 offensively to 104 defensively.

6-foot-2 Jeff Elioraga is a designated three-point shooter (47%) and former walk-on. Catch-and-shoot is his method of operation and 97 of his 107 shooting attempts have been from long distance. He's another who benefits from all the defensive attention the others generate.

Another talent out of Oz, Nick Duncan is a 6-foot-8 freshman who started last game in order to match up with New Mexico's Cameron Bairstow. His early claim to fame is a shooting range that extends beyond the arc despite his size -- he's shooting 53% from distance.

6-foot-3 Mikey Thompson comes off the bench and brings offensive firepower at 8.9 points a night. The sophomore is shooting 47% overall and is far more effective within 15-feet on in plus he has the ability to generate getting to the foul line.

Boise State plays small but still possess a 36-30 rebounding advantage each game as well being +50 in steals.

Here's an odd set of stats: the Broncos have scored 730 points to date in the first 20 minutes of games, allowing opponents just 586. But it's much, much closer in the second half of matchups at 771-730. Let's see if that plays out tomorrow.

Worth noting is Igor Hadziomerovic, a third Australian (by way of Serbia). But the 6-foot-4 junior is experiencing a down season at 4.8 points per contest.

Coach Wojcik know the Boise players and their tendencies. Can that be advantaged?

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